Disclaimer: The data on this page is for information purposes only. This information was produced without the involvement or agreement of any gaming provider, and uses publicly advertised betting odds to calculate and track individual constituency expectations for the 2024 General Election.
Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
55.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 50.0% Conservative retain | Farnham and Bordon | 12,786 |
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 44.4% Conservative retain | Mid Dorset and North Poole | 15,809 |
50.0% Liberal Democrat win vs. 44.4% Conservative retain | Surrey Heath | 17,677 |
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 43.5% Conservative retain | Torbay | 17,678 |
55.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 50.0% Conservative retain | Tiverton and Minehead | 24,982 |
Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
50.0% Conservative retain vs. 50.0% Liberal Democrat win | Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | 7,540 |
47.6% Conservative retain vs. 36.4% Liberal Democrat win | Horsham | 21,200 |
There are no Liberal Democrat losing seats forecasted in the 2024 General Election
Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
83.3% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 9.7% Labour win | Wimbledon | 1,281 |
83.3% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 12.5% Labour win | Edinburgh West | 1,488 |
85.7% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 15.4% Labour win | Orkney and Shetland | 2,507 |
90.9% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 12.5% Conservative win | St Albans | 6,293 |
92.3% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 7.8% Conservative win | Oxford West and Abingdon | 6,427 |
88.9% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 15.4% Conservative win | Richmond Park | 7,766 |
98.5% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 4.8% Conservative win | Kingston and Surbiton | 10,254 |
96.2% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 5.1% Labour win | Bath | 10,287 |
95.2% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 7.7% Conservative win | Twickenham | 14,121 |
Odds Breakdown | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
Conservative - 57.89% Liberal Democrat - 43.48% Labour - 6.67% Reform UK - 1.49% Green Party - 0.4% |
Stratford-on-Avon | 19,972 (Conservative) |
Conservative - 52.38% Liberal Democrat - 40.0% Labour - 4.76% Reform UK - 0.66% Green Party - 0.4% |
Epsom and Ewell | 17,219 (Conservative) |
Conservative - 66.67% Liberal Democrat - 36.36% Labour - 4.76% Reform UK - 0.99% Green Party - 0.4% |
Melksham and Devizes | 16,958 (Conservative) |
Conservative - 69.23% Liberal Democrat - 33.33% Labour - 5.88% Reform UK - 1.96% Green Party - 0.4% |
Witney | 14,281 (Conservative) |
Conservative - 63.64% Liberal Democrat - 32.26% Labour - 6.67% Reform UK - 0.99% Green Party - 0.4% |
South Shropshire | 23,245 (Conservative) |