Liberal Democrat
2024 General Election

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Disclaimer: The data on this page is for information purposes only. This information was produced without the involvement or agreement of any gaming provider, and uses publicly advertised betting odds to calculate and track individual constituency expectations for the 2024 General Election.

Liberal Democrat are forecast to win 65 seats in the 2024 General Election

Liberal Democrat - New Wins (56)
Probability Constituency Current Majority
66.7% Liberal Democrat win vs. 36.4% Conservative retain Honiton and Sidmouth 25,889
55.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 50.0% Conservative retain Tiverton and Minehead 24,982
69.2% Liberal Democrat win vs. 22.2% Conservative retain North Shropshire 22,949
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 30.8% Conservative retain Chichester 22,351
65.2% Liberal Democrat win vs. 28.6% Conservative retain South Cotswolds 19,048
57.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 28.6% Conservative retain Mid Sussex 18,958
77.8% Liberal Democrat win vs. 22.2% Conservative retain Chesham and Amersham 17,818
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 43.5% Conservative retain Torbay 17,678
50.0% Liberal Democrat win vs. 44.4% Conservative retain Surrey Heath 17,677
66.7% Liberal Democrat win vs. 22.2% Conservative retain Chelmsford 17,621
63.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 20.0% Conservative retain Frome and East Somerset 17,396
83.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 23.1% Conservative retain Glastonbury and Somerton 16,738
77.8% Liberal Democrat win vs. 23.1% Conservative retain Yeovil 16,184
63.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 33.3% Conservative retain Newbury 16,047
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 30.8% Conservative retain Bicester and Woodstock 16,000
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 44.4% Conservative retain Mid Dorset and North Poole 15,809
83.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 22.2% Conservative retain Dorking and Horley 15,568
73.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 30.8% Conservative retain North Cornwall 15,410
65.2% Liberal Democrat win vs. 38.1% Conservative retain Wells and Mendip Hills 15,181
63.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 37.0% Conservative retain Harpenden and Berkhamsted 15,163
57.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 38.1% Conservative retain Ely and East Cambridgeshire 14,882
75.0% Liberal Democrat win vs. 28.6% Conservative retain North Devon 14,813
63.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 33.3% Conservative retain Tunbridge Wells 14,645
73.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 28.6% Conservative retain North Norfolk 14,555
66.7% Liberal Democrat win vs. 33.3% Conservative retain Chippenham 14,483
75.0% Liberal Democrat win vs. 26.7% Conservative retain West Dorset 14,203
61.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 36.4% Conservative retain Henley and Thame 14,053
57.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 30.8% Conservative retain South Devon 13,371
71.4% Liberal Democrat win vs. 28.6% Conservative retain Thornbury and Yate 13,114
83.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 20.0% Conservative retain Wokingham 12,896
60.0% Liberal Democrat win vs. 44.4% Conservative retain Romsey and Southampton North 12,892
66.7% Liberal Democrat win vs. 22.2% Labour win St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire 12,883
55.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 50.0% Conservative retain Farnham and Bordon 12,786
71.4% Liberal Democrat win vs. 18.2% Labour win Didcot and Wantage 12,692
69.2% Liberal Democrat win vs. 28.6% Conservative retain Eastleigh 11,990
83.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 16.7% Conservative retain Taunton and Wellington 11,700
83.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 19.2% Conservative retain Harrogate and Knaresborough 9,937
77.8% Liberal Democrat win vs. 22.2% Conservative retain Woking 9,767
73.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 23.1% Conservative retain Godalming and Ash 9,567
38.1% Liberal Democrat win vs. 34.8% Conservative retain Exmouth and Exeter East 8,805
73.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 28.6% Conservative retain Sutton and Cheam 8,351
90.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 15.4% Conservative retain Winchester 6,074
92.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 11.1% Conservative retain Westmorland and Lonsdale 5,078
88.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 12.5% Conservative retain St Ives 4,967
87.5% Liberal Democrat win vs. 14.3% Conservative retain Guildford 4,915
87.5% Liberal Democrat win vs. 14.3% Conservative retain Hazel Grove 4,749
85.7% Liberal Democrat win vs. 20.0% Conservative retain Lewes 4,653
88.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 12.5% Conservative retain Eastbourne 4,331
77.8% Liberal Democrat win vs. 25.0% Scottish National Party retain Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross 3,832
87.5% Liberal Democrat win vs. 15.4% Conservative retain Esher and Walton 3,814
88.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 14.3% Conservative retain South Cambridgeshire 3,552
87.5% Liberal Democrat win vs. 18.2% Conservative retain Cheadle 2,336
80.0% Liberal Democrat win vs. 11.8% Labour win Mid Dunbartonshire 2,112
83.3% Liberal Democrat win vs. 14.3% Scottish National Party retain North East Fife 1,075
87.5% Liberal Democrat win vs. 13.4% Conservative retain Cheltenham 981
88.9% Liberal Democrat win vs. 15.4% Conservative retain Carshalton and Wallington 652
Liberal Democrat - Marginally Ahead (5)
Probability Constituency Current Majority
55.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 50.0% Conservative retain Farnham and Bordon 12,786
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 44.4% Conservative retain Mid Dorset and North Poole 15,809
50.0% Liberal Democrat win vs. 44.4% Conservative retain Surrey Heath 17,677
54.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 43.5% Conservative retain Torbay 17,678
55.6% Liberal Democrat win vs. 50.0% Conservative retain Tiverton and Minehead 24,982
Liberal Democrat - Marginally Behind (2)
Probability Constituency Current Majority
50.0% Conservative retain vs. 50.0% Liberal Democrat win Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe 7,540
47.6% Conservative retain vs. 36.4% Liberal Democrat win Horsham 21,200

There are no Liberal Democrat losing seats forecasted in the 2024 General Election
Liberal Democrat - Retained Seats (9)
Probability Constituency Current Majority
83.3% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 9.7% Labour win Wimbledon 1,281
83.3% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 12.5% Labour win Edinburgh West 1,488
85.7% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 15.4% Labour win Orkney and Shetland 2,507
90.9% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 12.5% Conservative win St Albans 6,293
92.3% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 7.8% Conservative win Oxford West and Abingdon 6,427
88.9% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 15.4% Conservative win Richmond Park 7,766
98.5% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 4.8% Conservative win Kingston and Surbiton 10,254
96.2% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 5.1% Labour win Bath 10,287
95.2% Liberal Democrat retain vs. 7.7% Conservative win Twickenham 14,121
Liberal Democrat - Wider Marginals (5)
Odds Breakdown Constituency Current Majority
Conservative - 57.89%
Liberal Democrat - 43.48%
Labour - 6.67%
Reform UK - 1.49%
Green Party - 0.4%
 Stratford-on-Avon 19,972 (Conservative)
Conservative - 52.38%
Liberal Democrat - 40.0%
Labour - 4.76%
Reform UK - 0.66%
Green Party - 0.4%
 Epsom and Ewell 17,219 (Conservative)
Conservative - 66.67%
Liberal Democrat - 36.36%
Labour - 4.76%
Reform UK - 0.99%
Green Party - 0.4%
 Melksham and Devizes 16,958 (Conservative)
Conservative - 69.23%
Liberal Democrat - 33.33%
Labour - 5.88%
Reform UK - 1.96%
Green Party - 0.4%
 Witney 14,281 (Conservative)
Conservative - 63.64%
Liberal Democrat - 32.26%
Labour - 6.67%
Reform UK - 0.99%
Green Party - 0.4%
 South Shropshire 23,245 (Conservative)