Disclaimer: The data on this page is for information purposes only. This information was produced without the involvement or agreement of any gaming provider, and uses publicly advertised betting odds to calculate and track individual constituency expectations for the 2024 General Election.
Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
57.9% Scottish National Party win vs. 40.0% Conservative retain | West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine | 843 |
Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
50.0% Scottish National Party retain vs. 40.0% Labour win | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | 2,329 |
52.4% Scottish National Party retain vs. 50.0% Labour win | Central Ayrshire | 5,304 |
55.6% Scottish National Party retain vs. 47.6% Labour win | Edinburgh South West | 11,982 |
50.0% Scottish National Party retain vs. 47.6% Labour win | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | 12,659 |
Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
50.0% Conservative retain vs. 44.4% Scottish National Party win | Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | 3,208 |
50.0% Labour win vs. 45.5% Scottish National Party retain | East Renfrewshire | 5,426 |
54.6% Labour win vs. 52.4% Scottish National Party retain | Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | 11,928 |
Odds Breakdown | Constituency | Current Majority |
---|---|---|
Conservative - 50.0% Scottish National Party - 36.36% Labour - 18.18% Liberal Democrat - 0.5% Green Party - 0.4% Reform UK - 0.4% |
Dumfries and Galloway | 1,869 (Conservative) |
Conservative - 60.0% Scottish National Party - 33.33% Labour - 6.67% Liberal Democrat - 0.79% Reform UK - 0.5% Green Party - 0.33% |
Gordon and Buchan | 210 (Conservative) |
Constituency | Current Scottish National Party Majority |
---|---|
Stirling and Strathallan | 8,802 (from Conservative) |