Budget Resolutions and Economic Situation

Scott Arthur Excerpts

Wednesday 28th October 2026 Commons Chamber

[Llinos Medi (Ynys Môn) (PC)]

This was Labour’s opportunity to show the people of Wales that it is listening, following the Senedd election last May. Instead, it has delivered one of the worst funding settlements for Wales in years. The £450 million over three years announced by the UK Government today is a real-terms cut to the Welsh budget. The Welsh Government needed a further £350 million in one year for a standstill budget. That means a cut to public services. In addition, the capital budget will be cut by 10% in real terms by the end of the decade, because of decisions made here in Westminster.

This Budget should have begun to address the long-standing injustice of Welsh rail funding. Wales has around 10% of the UK rail network, yet it receives just 1% of the rail enhancement spending. To address that, we were promised a £14 billion rail pipeline, but today, Leeds gets £300 million for one station, and the entire Welsh rail network gets £30 million.

The Government should go further to support investment. In north Wales, we are fortunate, and I thank the Labour Government for their decision on Gwyndod. Gwyndod has the potential to reindustrialise north Wales, strengthen our energy security and create thousands of high-quality jobs, but that will only happen if the Government ensure that the manufacturing jobs and supply chain investments from that project are created in Wales. Today’s announcement that the M-SParc science park on Ynys Môn will be supported is a step in the right direction when it comes to supporting economic growth, but we must make sure that Ynys Môn and north Wales benefit fully from Gwyndod.

[Dr Scott Arthur (Edinburgh South West) (Lab)]

As always, the hon. Lady is speaking very passionately. She has talked about energy security in Wales. Would it not be a lot easier to achieve that if the Welsh Government did not proceed with their plan to ban electricity pylons?

[Llinos Medi]

I think those conversations will take place in every community where there is a grid connection, and it is respectful to have those conversations. Since being elected to this place, I have been having conversations about having a robust connection, which should include undergrounding, to respect our communities. Communities that are hosting nationally significant energy projects should also be getting energy transmission in a fairer way.

Another measure that should have been announced today is energy support. Wales has some of the oldest and hardest to heat housing stock in western Europe, and official figures show that one in four households are living in fuel poverty. As has been mentioned today, many households across rural Wales remain off the gas grid—including 52% of those on Ynys Môn—with many of them reliant on heating oil. Businesses, too, remain exposed to volatile energy costs, without the protection of a price cap. The Chancellor announced that standing charges on gas will not be removed until the end of 2027, so households will not see the benefits of that decision this winter. The Government have not taken immediate steps to end unfair electricity standing charges, leaving households in north Wales paying the highest standing charges anywhere in the United Kingdom.

The people of Wales deserve better—they deserve a Government prepared to match their rhetoric on fairness with meaningful action. We did not get that fair deal for Wales in this Budget.

--- Later in debate ---

[Jerome Mayhew (Broadland and Fakenham) (Con)]

I will go out on a limb and say that this is a terrible Budget. It is not just a “steady as it goes” Budget, because everyone in this Chamber knows that we have got some serious problems that have to be addressed by this country, both politically and economically. This will be known as the “kick it down the road” Budget. It has its eyes covered and its fingers in its ears, pretending that these problems are not real and are not now, and that we can afford to push them all down for another 12 to 18 months.

Look at national debt. We have already peaked above £3 trillion of national debt in the past couple of weeks, yet this Parliament is now on course to increase borrowing above what was planned in 2024 by £308 billion. That is an increase of more than a quarter of a trillion pounds in borrowing, with no plan to get it down and no credible plan to reduce welfare spending, which is the next major issue that we have to address.

Welfare dependency now makes it reasonable for 1,000 people a day to apply for the personal independence payment, because they know that they will get paid more on benefits than if they got a job. The Government recognised that needs to change and tried to make a very modest change last year, but that was voted down by Government Members, and it led to the defeat of the previous Prime Minister. What was the Government’s answer? The Timms report, which was created out of the failure of the debate last time round, and part of its objective is not to reduce spending—[Interruption.] I would be grateful if Members listened to the speech being made, rather than making their own from the Government Front Bench.

Welfare dependency has to be addressed, yet we are waiting for a report, and then a response from the Government, and then a White Paper sometime next year, apparently. Then, after that, there will potentially be legislation to go through this House. That is no way to address this issue. This country faces a key and present economic, social and moral danger, and this Government are pretending that it is not there.

Then we come to defence. We are told by this Government that we must prepare for a war within 1,000 days, but do we have a plan to get to spending 3% of GDP on defence by 2030? Not a bit of it. We have a plan for next year, so we are supposed to be satisfied with a plan to get to a plan. This is ridiculous. We have Ministers telling us that we have to stockpile food, but we have capital expenditure that is due to take place after that 1,000-day period. This is back-to-front government, and it is a negligent Treasury that is imposing this on our defence sector.

We have a plan that reduces next year’s economic growth from 1.6%, which is pretty anaemic, down to 1%, and at no point during the forecast period does it get as far as 2%. This is outrageous.

[Dr Arthur]

Will the hon. Gentleman give way?

[Jerome Mayhew]

I will not. I have only a minute left.

We have tax rises being imposed on savers. What a weird argument that is—that increased taxes should be imposed on people who are doing the right thing. As for banks, which are the funders of growth, the CEO of one UK bank is reported to have said:

“Taxing the engines of growth to reduce VAT on gherkins is end-of-Rome level of stupidity.”

It is hard to disagree, is it not?

We have four really serious issues for our country, and a Budget that pretends they are not there. It is a Budget that kicks the can down the road. It is a Budget that says “steady as she goes” is the right answer. I could not disagree more.