Baroness Neville-Rolfe
Main Page: Baroness Neville-Rolfe (Conservative - Life peer)Department Debates - View all Baroness Neville-Rolfe's debates with the HM Treasury
(2 days, 15 hours ago)
Lords ChamberMy Lords, I start with a note of regret that participants in this vital debate are given an advisory time of only five minutes. As the Official Opposition’s spokesman, I can speak for a little longer, but the time set aside seems inadequate to deal with all stages of such an important Bill—especially on top of consigning the national insurance contributions Bill to the Moses Room. We have distinguished economic and financial experts in this House, and we should make it easier to hear from them in prime time. I look forward to the maiden speech of the noble Baroness, Lady Caine of Kentish Town, and to welcoming her to their number.
It seems a long time since the Chancellor delivered her Budget and James Murray, the Exchequer Secretary, introduced the Bill in the other place. At that time, the Chancellor was destroying morale and animal spirits by talking the economy down, and then bashing business with the highest tax burden in the history of our country. Now, growth is flatlining—as we predicted—and the legacy of fragility lives on, with 10-year bond rates currently at 4.6%.
I have some sympathy for the Minister, as it was necessary to deal with the challenges facing the country—not least improving productivity, which is the long-term way to sustainable growth. That also means tackling the public sector, which the Health Secretary, Wes Streeting, has shown the determination to do, not least with the abolition of NHS England and the multiple tiers of staffing that he hopes to tackle.
The worst and biggest mistake in the Budget was the hike in national insurance—the jobs tax—especially the lowering of the threshold, not least because it will not deliver the hoped-for savings. The OBR has said that by 2029-30, the annual yield from these NIC increases will be slashed by nearly £10 billion through the job cuts and lower nominal wages these measures will inflict. Moreover, a further £5 billion a year will be needed to compensate public service employers. We will come back to these issues at ping-pong next week.
The second mistake, which will hit entrepreneurs, family businesses and the farming community, is the class-driven raid on IHT—the family farms tax. We look forward to hearing the results of the consultation and hope that the noble Lord, Lord Wood of Anfield, the new chair of the Economic Affairs Committee, will follow convention and arrange a sub-committee to look at the changes before the details are finalised.
The third mistake is the ideologically driven tax grab on private schools—the education tax. The Bill introduces the first-ever tax on education, and I will major on this because it is provided for in the Bill before us. The Minister has also done so, albeit from a different perspective. Since 1 January 2025, all education, boarding and vocational training provided by private schools in the UK has been subject to VAT at the standard rate of 20%. Alongside this, the Government are removing charitable business rates relief for independent schools in England, meaning they will, for the first time, face the additional burden of local business taxes from April 2025.
To be clear, this is a new, punitive tax on education. Its imposition part-way through the academic year will cause—and has already caused—significant disruption to the education of thousands of children. It harms parents on modest incomes who have worked hard to send their children to the school they believe is best suited to them, and will make independent schools unaffordable for military families, who make the greatest sacrifice by serving in our Armed Forces.
Most of all, the Government’s education taxes will have a disastrous impact on pupils with special educational needs and disabilities, especially on those in independent and state schools who lack education, health and care plans. Over 100,000 children with special needs—many of whom are in independent schools—will be hit. The Government have acknowledged that the policy will have a “disruptive impact” on pupils with SEND, potentially forcing them out of their schools as fees become unaffordable, which will overwhelm the state-funded system and burden local authorities with a surge in EHCP applications.
Ultimately, this tax on education could, according to the Adam Smith Institute, cost the taxpayer £1.6 billion a year if it forces a quarter of pupils into the state sector. This policy is a direct attack on aspiration. It punishes those who have worked hard to succeed and we will only begin to see the real damage at the start of the next academic year. Parents will deprive themselves of much to avoid taking a child out of school during the year, but, in the autumn, hard-pressed parents will in many cases have no choice but to remove their children from private education.
The Government have also broken their manifesto promises with the Budget and the Finance Bill. Their pledge was:
“We will ensure taxes on working people are kept as low as possible”.
Yet, they have increased the tax burden to a historic high of 38.2% by 2029-30.
Rather than creating an environment that promotes investment and growth, the Bill makes our tax system less competitive. It abolishes the remittance basis of taxation for non-domiciled individuals and raises the main rates of capital gains tax—from 10% to 20%, and from 18% to 24%, respectively. It reduces investor relief and increases stamp duty.
These measures do not lay the foundations for the growth we need; they erode the incentives for businesses to invest and create jobs in the UK. We are seeing the consequences. More than 10,000 millionaires left Britain last year, up from 4,200 in 2023. With his growth hat on, can the Minister confirm how the Government will ensure that the UK remains an attractive place to work and invest in? What has happened to the enterprise economy?
The Government made another promise. They said:
“The dream of homeownership is now out of reach for too many young people”,
and vowed to
“support first-time buyers who struggle to save for a large deposit”.
However, once again, the promises have been broken. Millions of young people have now learned that those were empty words.
The Government have confirmed that stamp duty relief for first-time buyers will be slashed this month. This means that first-time buyers purchasing homes worth over £300,000 will pay thousands more in tax under this Budget. Rents will also be pushed higher as a result of this stamp duty hike, as stated by Paul Johnson of the Institute for Fiscal Studies. This will further squeeze young people, who are already struggling to make ends meet. It is plainly clear: the Government are not prioritising the future of young people as they should.
The Bill also perpetuates the Government’s flawed energy policy, which fails to prioritise our energy security. It increases the energy profits levy to 38%, bringing the headline rate on oil and gas activities to 78%, and extends that rate for another year, removing investment allowances.
The real-world consequences of this ideological policy are dire. Offshore Energies UK has warned that the change will stifle investment and put 35,000 jobs at risk. If investment falls—the OBR concludes that capital expenditure will be down 26% over the forecast period—the country will become more dependent on imported energy. This will not only compromise the UK’s energy security but expose consumers to price fluctuations, leaving them vulnerable to global supply disruptions.
The Government are relying on the levy to help fund GB Energy and support the transition to clean power. However, if investment in UK oil and gas declines, the revenue generated by the levy will diminish, eroding the very schemes that they claim will create a “green energy superpower”. We should be maximising our homegrown energy, not undermining domestic production.
There are three other points that I hope the Minister may be able to clear up. First, what are the Government’s plans for the digital services tax, particularly in the light of adverse comments from Washington about the future of the tax in any trade deal? I was in favour of the introduction of the tax as a means of reducing the discrimination against physical retail that has been so damaging to our high streets. Any reassurance would be most welcome.
Secondly, the Government acknowledged that the transitional provisions for remittance by non-doms were faulty and helpfully tabled an amendment in the other place, now paragraph 6 of Schedule 9. However, I have been advised by the Chartered Institute of Taxation that this is also defective, so that, for example, individuals who brought money into the UK to buy a house several years ago would now face a big retrospective tax charge. To stop yet further departures from the UK to avoid such perverse effects, could the Minister make a statement that the Government recognise the issue and commit to a further amendment in the next Finance Bill?
Thirdly, and this is important, will the Minister repeat the Chancellor’s commitment that the Government will not extend the freeze of income tax and national insurance contribution thresholds beyond April 2028?
I conclude by reminding the House that the Government inherited the fastest-growing economy in the G7, with inflation under control, unemployment halved and the deficit reduced, yet the measures in the Bill do nothing to boost growth or to secure our stable future. The combination of the jobs tax, the family farms tax and the education tax has devastated business confidence, put the future of British farming in jeopardy and is disrupting the education of hundreds of thousands of children. This was a Budget that failed to rebuild the foundations of our nation, as promised. It does not deliver the economic growth that we need. It does quite the opposite. The Government pledged that their prime mission would be to boost economic growth. Instead, they have consistently talked down the British economy and growth has evaporated. Ministers must act in the Spring Statement next week to correct the mistakes they made and put the British economy back on track.