Question to the Department for Work and Pensions:

To ask His Majesty's Government, under the proposals for Personal Independence Payment (PIP) contained in the Green Paper Pathways to Work, how many current PIP claimants, based on their present activities of daily living points total and distribution between activities of daily living, would (1) not be entitled to the daily living component of PIP at the standard rate, (2) not be entitled to the daily living component of PIP at the enhanced rate, (3) become subject to the benefit cap, and (4) become subject to the shared accommodation rate of Local Housing Allowance.

In the Pathways to Work Impact assessment, the Department estimated that by 29/30 around 370,000 PIP claimants currently on PIP at policy implementation would be affected, after behavioural responses were taken into account. Of these, the Department estimates that around 270,000 will already be on PIP in March 2025 and 100,000 of these would be expected to inflow onto PIP between April 2025 and October 2026. 320,000 of these claimants affected are expected to otherwise, in the absence of the change to criteria, be in receipt of the standard rate of the daily living component of PIP, while 60,000 are expected to otherwise be in receipt of the enhanced rate.

No estimate has yet been made about numbers of current claimants who would now become subject to the benefit cap; in total for all current and future claimants affected by the measure, an estimated 2,000 will be subject to the benefit cap in 2029/30. No estimate has yet been made of the numbers of claimants who will become subject to the shared accommodation rate of Local Housing Allowance.

Note:

a) Figures are based on modelling of the impact of requiring 4 points to be scored in at least one daily living activity.

b) Figures are rounded to the nearest ten thousand, benefit cap figure is rounded to the thousand.