Question to the Department of Health and Social Care:

To ask the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, with reference to the Written Statement of 11 April 2023 on Achieving Smokefree 2030: cutting smoking and stopping kids vaping, HCWS710, what modelling his Department has undertaken on how the steps outlined in that statement will help bring smoking rates down to 5% or less in England by 2030.

Annex 1 of ‘Stopping the start: our new plan to create a smokefree generation’ sets out the modelling used to forecast changes in smoking prevalence over time based on legislating for a smokefree generation. This modelling is preliminary and will continue to be further refined ahead of publication of a full impact assessment.

Annex 1 is available at the following link:

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/stopping-the-start-our-new-plan-to-create-a-smokefree-generation/annex-1-modelling-assumptions