National Insurance Contributions (Rate Ceilings) Bill (Second sitting)

Rebecca Long Bailey Excerpts

Tuesday 27th October 2015 Public Bill Committees

[Mr Gauke]

Like clause 1, clause 2 is a simple provision and I do not intend to detain the Committee for long in explaining it. The rate of secondary class 1 contributions payable by employers for employees who are not under the age of 21 is 13.8%. It is payable on earnings above £156 per week. The clause simply provides that the rate shall not exceed 13.8%.

[Rebecca Long Bailey (Salford and Eccles) (Lab)]

Again, as this is part of the Government’s policy to cap national insurance contributions for this Parliament, we do not oppose it in principle, but I hope that the Minister will address a few issues.

The national insurance fund is used almost exclusively to pay for contributory benefits. However, one portion, as we discussed this morning in the evidence session, is used for the NHS. Will the Minister assure us that the Government are not tying their own hands should there be another economic crisis? There could be a danger in such circumstances that the Chancellor may decide to reduce public spending further, just at the point when a stimulus is needed.

Economists the world over warn that the global economic situation is becoming increasingly precarious, and the Minister will no doubt be acutely aware that the Opposition have concerns that the Government are not taking sufficient measures to increase our financial resilience. I ask the Minister, in the words of Keynes: if the facts change, will the Chancellor change his mind? Alternatively, if the Government are committed to keeping this framework in place regardless, what contingency plans exist to protect the fund if unemployment starts to rise and receipts from national insurance consequently fall?

On Second Reading, the point was made that the Chancellor’s spending plans are predicated on,

“a forecast rise in revenue yield from NICs”.—[Official Report, 15 September 2015; Vol. 599, c. 941.]

However, should this yield be less than forecast, whether due to unforeseen circumstances, simple miscalculation or, indeed, economic policy failures, what will the Government do? Will further cuts be imposed on public expenditure, or will borrowing rise and the Chancellor simply change his targets once again?

I was grateful for the Minister’s response this morning when he confirmed that NHS funding would not be cut directly as a result of any impact that the Bill has. However, in the same way as the Bill provides an assurance to the market that the Government will keep their promise on national insurance, it would be prudent to legislate for the promise on the NHS. I trust that the Minister has listened diligently to my concerns and I look forward to his response.

[Mr Gauke]

I am grateful to the hon. Lady for her questions. She asked whether we are tying our hands in these circumstances. To the extent that we are not putting up the employers’ rate of national insurance contributions, for which the clause provides, or the employees’ rate, for which clause 1 provides, we are making it clear that we do not believe that that would be the right thing to do.

The hon. Lady draws me on to hypothetical ground when she asks what would happen if there were a crash, but even on a Keynesian analysis, I do not think anyone would particularly advocate, as an immediate response to an economic downturn, increasing employers’ or employees’ national insurance contributions. I do not claim to be an expert on Keynesian orthodoxy, but I do not think that that would constitute an orthodox Keynesian response to a downturn.

On the hon. Lady’s points about the impact on the national insurance fund, let me repeat the assurances that I gave this morning. There is no question of the fund not being able to fund pensions or the NHS. The Government will introduce the new state pension from 2016, which will make pensions affordable and improve the sustainability of the national insurance fund in the long term and provide the right support for private saving.

The Government Actuary recommends a working balance of one sixth of benefit expenditure for the national insurance fund, as we heard this morning. There is provision to top up the national insurance fund from the Consolidated Fund to maintain the balance at that level. For the 2015-16 tax year, a top-up of £9.6 billion has been provided for in legislation. The future funding of contributory benefits, should NICs receipts prove insufficient, is a matter for the Chancellor and that decision would need to be made at the relevant fiscal event, based on the latest projections available at the time, and taking account of this Bill. I hope that that provides some reassurance that there is flexibility.

It is not the case—nor is this an argument that a future Government would make—that, if the national insurance fund were lower than we expected, we would not honour our commitments on the NHS and on the state pension. I have to make the point that, when it comes to ensuring that we can have a properly funded NHS and properly funded pensions, we need to make sure that the economy is on a sound footing, and that the public finances are strong. That means that we have to make choices, and, in some cases, difficult choices about public finances. That includes, for example, identifying savings in the welfare budget, but, Mr Bailey, that would be taking me away from clause 2.

--- Later in debate ---

[Rebecca Long Bailey]

Hon. Members will be pleased to hear that I do not wish to go into great detail on clause 3. We are aware that the clause links the upper earnings limit to the higher rate income tax threshold by setting out that it shall not exceed the weekly equivalent of the proposed higher rate threshold for that tax year. That means that employees stop paying national insurance contributions at the 12% rate when their income reaches the higher rate income threshold, and thereafter the rate of national insurance is 2%.

--- Later in debate ---

[Mr Gauke]

I am sorry if we are detaining the hon. Lady. I am sure she has many useful things to do this afternoon, so I will not detain her longer than I have to. I come back to the point that we debated this morning. It was a manifesto commitment that we would legislate for this and it is similar to the argument on rates that we have just had on clauses 1 and 2. It underlines our commitment.

I suspect that, had the Bill contained just clauses 1 and 2, and not dealt with the upper earnings limit alignment, the hon. Lady would have been one of the first to identify an apparent lacuna in the legislation and would say that there was nothing to stop us increasing the 12% band of national insurance contributions above the point at which the higher rate threshold came into place. Indeed, I think that that was Labour party policy in 1992, so it is not an immaterial issue or one that has never been considered in public debate.

To be consistent with the capping of the employees’ NICs rate, it is right to set out the threshold and the fact that that is tied in with the higher rate threshold. That has been the practice for some years now and we wish to maintain it.

[Rebecca Long Bailey]

On highlighting a lacuna, several need to be highlighted and we will take the same approach as the Government to the Bill. If they are going to legislate for every single pre-election promise, surely they should apply the same sort of legislation to every manifesto pledge. They are certainly not doing that.

As my hon. Friend the Member for Wolverhampton South West rightly said this morning, while the Government might be providing assurances to the market on this issue, they are certainly not providing any assurances on all their other pre-election promises because they are not legislating for them in the same way.

--- Later in debate ---

[Mr Gauke]

On a point of order, Mr Bailey. I am not sure whether it is appropriate or necessary to make a point of order at this point, but I think I should. I thank you for your guidance over the last 21 minutes. You have demonstrated all the skills we needed this afternoon, and I am grateful for that. I also thank Mr Rosindell for his assistance this morning.

I thank all hon. Members for their participation in our proceedings. They can report back to the Whips that they have served on yet another Bill Committee, and I hope they feel that this has been a day well spent.

I thank the Whips—the Lord Commissioner of Her Majesty’s Treasury, my hon. Friend the Member for Central Devon, and the hon. Member for St Helens North—for their assistance. I also thank Opposition Members, including the Front-Bench spokespeople, the hon. Members for Wolverhampton South West and for Salford and Eccles, for their constructive engagement with the Bill.

This is the second Bill that some of us have completed in recent days. It has taken considerably less time than the Finance Bill, for which I, for one, am very grateful.

May I conclude by thanking the Clerks, the Hansard reporters, the police and the attendants, as well as the officials from Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs and the Treasury, for their assistance with this short but important Bill? I look forward to discussing these issues again—no doubt at some length—on Third Reading.

[Rebecca Long Bailey]

Further to that point of order, Mr Bailey. I reiterate the thanks the Minister has expressed. I also thank him for what has, as always, been a lively and engaging debate. It has been a pleasure.

[John Mc Nally (Falkirk) (SNP)]

Further to that point of order, Mr Bailey. This is the first Bill Committee on which I have sat. May I, too, thank the Minister and the Clerks for taking us through the Bill and for the guidance they have given us? I am equally glad that our proceedings have been quite short and relatively simple to follow and that I could associate them with my constituents back home in Falkirk.

Bill to be reported, without amendment.