Social Security Benefits Up-rating Order 2026

Baroness Sherlock Excerpts

Tuesday 10th February 2026 Grand Committee

Moved by

[Baroness Sherlock]

That the Grand Committee do consider the Social Security Benefits Up-rating Order 2026.

Relevant document: 49th Report from the Secondary Legislation Scrutiny Committee

[The Minister of State, Department for Work and Pensions (Baroness Sherlock) (Lab)]

My Lords, in moving this order I will speak also to the draft Guaranteed Minimum Pensions Increase Order 2026. In my view, the provisions in both instruments are compatible with the European Convention on Human Rights.

I will start with the draft Social Security Benefits Up-rating Order. This instrument will increase relevant state pension rates by 4.8%, in line with the growth in average earnings in the year to May/July 2025. It will increase most other benefit rates by 3.8%, in line with the rise in the consumer prices index in the year to September 2025. As such, the uprating order commits the Government to increased expenditure of £9 billion in 2026-27, of which £6 billion will be on state pensions and pensioner benefits, £2 billion on disability and carers’ benefits and £1 billion on working-age benefits. A further £2 billion of expenditure on working-age benefits will be incurred in 2026-27 as a result of uprating decisions made under separate legal powers in the Universal Credit Act 2025, which will set new rates for universal credit and income-related employment and support allowance.

I turn to state pensions in more detail. The Government’s commitment to the triple lock means that the basic and full rate of the new state pension will be uprated by the highest of the growth in earnings, prices or 2.5%. This will be 4.8% for 2026-27, in line with the conventional average earnings growth measure. As such, from April 2026, the basic state pension will increase from £176.45 a week to £184.90 a week, and the full rate of the new state pension will increase from £230.25 a week to £241.30 a week. From April, the full annual rate of the new state pension will increase by around £575, while the full annual rate of the basic state pension will increase by around £440.

Other components of people’s state pension awards, such as those previously built under earnings-related state pension schemes—including the additional state pension—will increase by 3.8% in line with the statutory minimum requirement of prices. The safety net provided by the pension credit standard minimum guarantee will increase by 4.8%. From April, it will be £238 a week for a single pensioner and £363.25 a week for a couple, ensuring that the incomes of poorest pensioners are protected.

I turn now to the support given to people below the state pension age. Most benefits will also increase by 3.8%, including statutory payments such as statutory sick pay and statutory maternity pay, and the personal allowances of income support, housing benefit, jobseeker’s allowance, and contributory employment and support allowance. This order will also increase the child amounts, carer amounts and transitional severe disability premiums in universal credit, as well as the pensioner and carer premiums in income-related employment and support allowance, by 3.8%.

The uprating order will also increase by 3.8% rates for those in England and Wales with additional disability needs and those who provide unpaid care for them. This commits the department to increased expenditure of £2 billion in 2026-27. This means that benefits such as the disability living allowance, attendance allowance, carer’s allowance and personal independence payment will rise in line with the rise in the consumer prices index in the year to September 2025.

I turn now to the Guaranteed Minimum Pensions Increase Order 2026—the GMP increase order. It sets out the amount by which the GMP part of an individual’s contracted-out occupational pension, earned between April 1988 and April 1997, must be increased when it is being paid. The increase is paid by occupational pension schemes. It provides a measure of inflation protection to people who are in receipt of GMPs earned between 1988 and 1997.

GMPs earned between April 1988 and April 1997 must, by law, be increased by the percentage increase in the general level of prices, as measured the previous September, which is capped at 3%. The September 2025 figure was 3.8%. Because of the cap, the increase for the 2026-27 financial year will therefore be 3%. Having the 3% cap gives schemes more certainty. It allows schemes to forecast their future liabilities better, which is clearly important when trustees are considering the scheme’s funding requirements. The GMP indexation requirements strike a balance between protecting members against the effects of inflation and not increasing scheme costs beyond a level that both schemes and sponsoring employers can reasonably afford.

In summary, the draft Social Security Benefits Up-rating Order implements the Government’s commitment to the triple lock, provides for a real-terms increase in the value of the safety net in pension credit, increases the rates of benefits for those in the labour market, and increases the rates of both carers’ benefits and benefits to help with additional costs arising from disability or health conditions. The draft Guaranteed Minimum Pensions Increase Order requires formerly contracted-out occupational pension schemes to pay an increase of 3% on GMPs in payment earned between April 1988 and April 1997. This provides people with a measure of protection against inflation, paid for by their scheme. I beg to move.

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[Baroness Stedman-Scott (Con)]

I appreciate the noble Lord’s intervention. I will read Hansard. We will write to the noble Lord and start some correspondence on that issue. I appreciate the points made by the noble Lord. Everybody knows that he knows what he is talking about and that he is well versed in pensions legislation. If he is happy for me to do so, I will pick that point up with my colleagues.

I turn to the draft Social Security Benefits Up-rating Order 2026. The shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, Helen Whately, has rightly led calls for the Government to move more quickly and clearly in setting out their plans for welfare reform. Sickness and disability benefits alone are forecast to cost the taxpayer £100 billion by 2030. The shadow work and pensions team has consistently argued that the Government are failing to confront the structural drivers behind rising welfare expenditure. Delays in doing so carry a cost not only to the public finances but in missed opportunities to redirect spending towards other pressing government priorities.

It is extraordinary that the Timms review has only just agreed the names of the committee members appointed for a review that Stephen Timms is leading into sickness benefits, including with group members representing the disabled. The work has not yet begun. It is nearly two years after the general election, so can the Minister confirm that his committee is on track to give an interim review this spring? Can she also confirm that it will indeed be 2027 before his committee reports and that, by then, no progress will have been made in this Parliament, allowing for likely legislation following a government response?

These concerns sit alongside the wider economic impact of Labour’s jobs tax. The Autumn Budget 2024, in particular the increase in employer national insurance contributions, has been associated with the loss of an estimated 50,000 full-time equivalent jobs. This has implications for not only employment levels but the long-term health of the National Insurance Fund. The difficulty with this draft order is one not purely of substance but of process. The instrument uprates pensions and working-age benefits together, leaving no scope to consider the appropriateness of each element independently or to debate the Government’s policy intentions for each in detail.

Rather than dwell further on the procedural constraint, it is worth noting that the issues raised by this uprating instrument sit alongside the Government’s announcement yesterday on universal credit reform and the legislation now laid before Parliament. Taken together, they speak to the direction of travel in welfare policy and the assumptions underpinning the current uplift. The Government argue that these reforms are intended to rebalance the benefits system, to address perverse incentives and to support more people into work. We are told that the current gap between health-related universal credit payments and the standard allowance discourages labour market participation, and that narrowing this gap for new claimants is necessary to restore fairness and sustainability.

I therefore have a number of questions for the Minister. First, what assessment has been made of the behavioural impact of introducing a significantly lower health element for new claimants? Secondly, although existing claimants and those with severe or lifelong conditions are protected, how confident are the Government that the criteria used to determine severity are sufficiently robust, consistent and fair across the system? Thirdly, the Government have announced £3.5 billion in employment support alongside the expansion of pathways to work advisers. How will success be measured? Will outcomes be judged by sustained employment, earnings progression or reductions in case loads, and over what period?

Finally, the Government expect these reforms to deliver savings of £950 million by 2030-31. Do those projections assume stable labour market conditions? What sensitivity analysis has been undertaken should employer demand weaken further? I hope that the Minister sees the link and will be happy to answer these questions.

[Baroness Sherlock (Lab)]

My Lords, I shall get through as many points as I can, and if I cannot, I will check Hansard and write to noble Lords. I am delighted to find that writing to members of the Committee is now a bipartisan activity, rather than just on the government side, so it is all very interesting.

I will start with the overall critique from the noble Baroness, Lady Stedman-Scott. As she said, this is what the shadow social security team throw at the Government on a regular basis: that they are not doing enough to bring down welfare spending, and that everything is terrible. I start by saying that the system the Opposition critique is of course a system that we inherited from them. All the things we are often told are wrong with it are things that were entirely in the gift of the previous Government. They did not address any of those problems. The only attempts they made were struck down by the High Court for being illegal, whereas this Government have actually taken action.

As the noble Baroness alluded to, we have already taken action to make the health and disability system more sustainable by rebalancing rates of universal credit from this April to tackle some of those inappropriate incentives in it. Our investment in pathways to work will help many more people with health conditions back into meaningful work. We have started the Timms review to make sure that we find a sustainable way forward. On timing, I can say to the noble Baroness that we anticipate that the review will report in autumn of this year. I have no reason to believe that it is not on track to do that.

I will come on to some of the critique from the other side. Noble Lords have said that we are either not doing enough to reduce social security spending or not doing enough to increase it, so let me try and lean in the other direction to be balanced. My noble friend Lady Lister is absolutely right: we are in Grand Committee, and many of us have been in Grand Committee on a regular basis—annually—to do this. Some of us have moved positions from one side to the other, but now we are here. This point is that this debate is heard, it goes on the record, and I always look very carefully, whether in government or opposition, at the comments made by noble Lords. I am grateful for them; it is a debate well worth having.

I understand the point my noble friend is making about the adequacy of benefits, but from April, this Government are delivering the first ever sustained above-inflation rise in the basic rate of universal credit since it was introduced. Just under 4 million households will benefit overall from that change, which is estimated to be worth £760 a year by 2029-30 in cash terms for a single parent aged 25 or over, or around £250 above inflation. We have also done other things. We introduced the fair repayment rate from April last year, reducing overall universal credit deductions from 25% to 15%, which again benefited approximately 1.2 million of the poorest households. I respect my noble friend for constantly pushing us to go further, but I put on record that the Government have done something significant, and I thank her for acknowledging this.

In terms of the rebalancing, my noble friend Lady Lister is right that, unusually this year, the personal allowance rates of universal credit are not covered by these because the Universal Credit Act, which did the rebalancing, took them out for the relevant period. They will therefore be made by regulations but when we discussed the primary legislation, the Universal Credit Bill, the formula was made really clear. The only reason the numbers were not in there is because they relate to CPI, so the actual numbers depend on what CPI turned out to be. The percentage relationship to CPI was made clear and there was the opportunity to debate that in the Bill. Hopefully, that reassures her on that front.

I understand my noble friend’s concerns on the local housing allowance point, but we have to step quite carefully in this area. DWP currently supports renters by spending around £34 billion a year on housing support for low-income renters, including £12 billion in the private rented sector. The April 2024 one-year LHA increase cost an extra £1.2 billion in 2024-25. It will be approximately £7 billion over the next five years. This is an area where the changes cost a lot of money. We know that LHA rates will not meet all rents in all areas, but it has always been acknowledged that they would never be able to do that.

This Government are trying to address the underlying problems driving some of these issues by prioritising the fundamental issue of the lack of housing supply, through the £39 billion investment in the social and affordable homes programme, which is still the biggest boost to social and affordable housing in a generation. For those who need additional support and have a shortfall to meet their rent costs, our new crisis and resilience fund replaces discretionary housing payments in the household support fund from this April, supported by £1 billion a year, including Barnett impact, through the spending review period. Importantly, we have been able to give a multi-year reassurance to local authorities that the money is coming through.

On the benefit cap, I know that my noble friend will never be a fan of it, and I understand her concerns, but this Government believe that entering or returning to employment is best for individuals and the economy; we have taken significant steps to help them do so. The benefit cap encourages personal responsibility while maintaining a strong safety net. On uprating, this has to be reviewed every five years, and 2027 is the next time it will definitely have to be done. It is up to the Secretary of State when it is reviewed, and that is the latest it can be.

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[Lord Davies of Brixton (Lab)]

If it helps my noble friend, I will put down some Written Questions to deal with this question. I probably should have done that in the past.

[Baroness Sherlock (Lab)]

If all my noble friend wants to know is what he has asked me, I can write to him—this would save him the trouble of writing and save me the trouble of writing back to him—but, obviously, he is always entitled to do that.

Finally, the National Insurance Fund is financed on a collective basis, with receipts collected in one year used to pay for certain benefit payments, including the state pension, paid out in the same year. I need to make it clear that, obviously, it is not accurate to suggest that there is a surplus in the fund that can be drawn on. The balance of the National Insurance Fund is managed as part of the Government’s overall management of public finances and reduces the need for them to borrow from elsewhere. Any additional spending from the National Insurance Fund would represent an increase in overall government spending. Without cuts in other areas of spend or additional taxes, it would therefore lead to an increase in government borrowing.

I think I have answered most of the questions asked by noble Lords. The noble Baroness asked some specific questions about metrics. I am not sure that I have an answer to hand; if I have anything, I will certainly write to her. I am grateful, once again, for what is always an interesting debate. I love the fact that this Committee takes these matters so seriously; they truly affect the lives of so many people. I am grateful to noble Lords for their time and expertise.

Motion agreed.