Health Bill

Debate between Baroness Manzoor and Lord Patel

Committee stage
Tuesday 3rd November 2026 Lords Chamber

[Baroness Manzoor (Con)]

My Lords, I support the thrust of the amendments in this group, particularly Amendment 28 in the name of my noble friend Lady Shawcross-Wolfson. She has put her case forcefully and clearly, so I will not detain the Committee for long.

Poor long-term workforce planning creates significant challenges for NHS staff and patient care. Inadequate forecasting, insufficient investment in training and recruitment and poor staff retention contribute to persistent vacancies and skills shortages. This increases workforce loads, stress, burnout and sickness absence, resulting in low morale and higher staff turnover. The NHS becomes increasingly reliant on expensive agency workers and international recruitment, placing additional pressure on budgets. Consequently, services experience longer waiting times, reduced productivity, compromised continuity of care and potential risks to patient safety.

NHS England estimates an existing workforce shortfall of approximately 150,000 full-time equivalent staff, potentially rising to 260,000 to 360,000 by 2036-37 if there is no intervention. Effective long-term planning is therefore essential to develop a sustainable workforce, improve staff well-being, strengthen retention and ensure safe, high-quality patient care. I strongly urge the Minister to support this amendment. Ministers should be held accountable for the delivery of this workforce plan.

[Lord Patel (CB)]

My Lords, I strongly support the amendment in the name of the noble Baroness, Lady Shawcross-Wolfson, and I have added my name to it. She spoke so eloquently and made her case so strongly that I have put aside what I have written down because it would have been a repetition of what she had already said. I am going to take a slightly different tack but make the same point.

The noble Baroness quite rightly linked education, training and workforce planning. You have to know what workforce you might require for the health service you plan to have. I guess one can say that the Government’s 10-year health plan and the 10-year cancer care plan outline the kind of health service that the Government wish to see develop over the next 10 years. If that is the case, we need to address what kind of training and education and what kind of people we will need to deliver that plan.

I am guessing now that the reason why the 10-year workforce plan is delayed is because the premise on which it was to be formulated was that technology such as AI and digital technology would free a lot of clinical time, and hence the headcount need not be so high. That is a false assumption. It is false because we need to train people to use AI and digital technologies. The assessment is that, if you use these technologies, you might free about 40 minutes a day for front-line clinicians. With the pressure that the NHS now faces and the needs of the workforce it now faces, that time will be used to deliver better care to patients, particularly as the 10-year health plan identifies that technologies such as genomics and personalised medicine will be the way healthcare will go. There is an ambition by 2040 to have 50% of patients with some idea of their genomics, and the treatment is therefore based on that.

If you add all these together, and the Secretary of State now has responsibility for education, training and workforce planning, you ask the question: why is the workforce plan delayed? It is delayed because maybe the penny has dropped that, if you do not count the numbers and do not present a case about how technologies will reduce front-line clinical time, then you cannot plan the workforce.

Furthermore, I wonder whether the Bailie review of productivity in the NHS is based on the premise that greater productivity will be delivered in the NHS because of using technologies such as AI and digital technologies. We do not know that that will happen, but we have to wait until the Bailie review comes out. I wonder whether that is another reason—the Minister might comment on that—why the workforce plan is delayed.

It might be political pressures, it might be fiscal pressures or it might be the pressures from not knowing how to get the workforce numbers that we would require to deliver the 10-year plan and the cancer care plan that are holding up workforce planning. However, as the noble Baroness, Lady Shawcross-Wolfson, pointed out, if we do not have a plan, things will get worse. We will introduce technology, which will not be across the board, and we will then look for workforce that is not trained to deliver it. I hope the Minister will give us some answers about where we are going.