Finance Bill Debate

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Department: HM Treasury
Lord Leigh of Hurley Portrait Lord Leigh of Hurley (Con)
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My Lords, I am really pleased to have a chance to make a short contribution to this debate on the Finance Bill and to congratulate the noble Baroness, Lady Caine of Kentish Town, on her most eloquent and enjoyable maiden speech.

I have been the chairman of the Finance Bill Sub-Committee of the Economic Affairs Committee of your Lordships’ House but we have not been invited to sit this year, which is a polite way of saying that we feel we have been discarded unceremoniously. I am really sorry that we have not been invited to prepare a report on the Finance Bill in the normal way. If we had, one of the areas I would have liked us to look at in depth is the OECD pillar 2 in the Finance Bill. As the Minister will recall, I have raised pillar 1 and pillar 2 a number of times in this House and in fact first raised them in 2013.

We are all pleased to see progress in this Finance Bill in Clause 19 and Schedule 4, building on the work of previous Conservative Administrations. It is disappointing to see that in respect of pillar 1, the digital services tax raised only £678 million in 2023-24. Does the Minister agree that this is too low? As the noble Baroness, Lady Neville-Rolfe, has mentioned, if the Government are keen to raise revenue, enhancing DST would be supported by many in both Houses, so it would be interesting to know what he might be thinking about that.

However, I accept that we are of course now worried by President Trump’s views on pillars 1 and 2. As the Treasury plans to raise some £2.8 billion from pillar 2, it would be interesting to know what plans the Government have to protect this figure given that Trump has said a list of protective measures will be drawn up by the United States.

I remind the House of my membership of the Chartered Institute of Taxation—one of the dreaded tax advisers that the noble Lord, Lord Markham, spoke about—and I am sure Ministers are aware of its observations on the transitional safe harbour routes. It called the top-up taxes of pillar 2 “complicated and burdensome”, so will there be further clarity on these rules? It would be good to hear that.

As the noble Lord, Lord Markham, mentioned, the changes to tax of people formerly called non-doms have, unfortunately, proven to be a bit of a disaster. The temporary repatriation facility will have no material effect and in 2024, on a net basis, more than 10,000 millionaires left the UK, more than double the 2023 figure. That equates to over 500,000 average taxpayers, as each of them would have paid at least £400,000 in income tax alone last year.

A survey by Oxford Economics estimates that two-thirds of those remaining are thinking of leaving simply due to the tax changes and even the OBR estimates that 15% to 25% of the remaining non-doms may well leave. I cannot believe that the Chancellor’s estimates of raising £13 billion over five years from such people is right; in fact, it has been calculated that it will cost £1 billion, not make £13 billion. Has the Minister had a chance to revise the £13 billion in view of the hard fact that people are leaving the UK in much greater numbers than anticipated? The Minister may now be aware of serious concerns about deficiencies in the legislation regarding so-called double remittances. This needs to be urgently addressed in future Finance Bills.

It seems appropriate to mention national insurance, particularly given PMQs earlier today, where I think the Prime Minister was embarrassed to have to admit that the amendment that we tabled in respect of hospices had not been accepted in this House and has gone to the other place.

I am grateful to the Minister for once again mentioning the £22 billion. He mentioned “line by line”. He mentioned the OBR’s £9 billion, although he did not mention the £13 billion that no one can find. I cannot find one economic commentator who agrees with the Government, and he makes no mention of the underprovisions that always exist every year, which have been ignored by this Government.

Much of the “black hole” has been created by the Government folding to their bosses in the unions and paying public sector wages with no productivity gains, which is a disaster if you want growth as the NHS is included in the growth statistics. Once again, we have to question those claims. Indeed, on statements of economic competence, the last Labour Administration left government with the financial crisis and, of course, left a note apologising that there was no money left in the kitty. Let us not forget that.

So, as a result, private businesses are going to suffer now as resources are sucked out of them unnecessarily. The first few months of the new Government have been a disaster fiscally, with the unfortunate announcement on the winter fuel payment, the virtual riots on the streets by our farmers—normally the backbone of our society—and charities, social care homes and even hospices openly hostile to the Government.

Let us try to create a better environment for fiscal changes. It is clear that the Treasury has persuaded Ministers to apply taxes which previous Chancellors have wisely resisted. I hope they learn from this and chose to consult more widely before the imposition of new taxes.