Finance Bill

Lord Hain Excerpts

2nd reading & Committee negatived & 3rd reading
Wednesday 19th March 2025 Lords Chamber

[Lord Hain (Lab)]

My Lords, I too congratulate my new noble friend Lady Caine on her excellent speech, which suggests that her husband was lucky to catch her, not the other way round.

The Conservatives have been parroting the preposterous claim that last July they bequeathed our Labour Government a fast-growing, resilient economy, despite their 14 disastrous years in government, seeing abysmally low, slow economic growth; falling productivity; falling real living standards for the first time since the 1950s; UK investment as a share of GDP the lowest in the G7 between 2010 and 2022; key public services savaged by austerity; and a cavalier indifference to rising inequality and to communities collapsed by deindustrialisation.

The shockingly poor performance of the UK economy in the 14 years after the 2008 financial crisis, almost all under the Tories, stands in marked contrast to the success of the 14 years before the global financial crisis, almost all under Labour. Tory austerity was worse than in any of the advanced economies, and over 80% of cuts were to public service budgets, equivalent to £180 billion in today’s terms, which is more than we spend on health and social care in England. It is why NHS waiting lists are so long, why GP appointments are so difficult to get, why our prisons are full to overcrowding and so on.

The Tories’ addiction to public spending cuts was driven by a misplaced faith in neoliberalism, an obsession with cutting the size of the state, reducing the role of government in running the economy or in promoting the common good, relying instead on free market forces and rewarding winners, slashing top rates of income tax on the fortunate few while more than doubling the standard rate of VAT paid by the many.

However, the election of Donald Trump has transformed everything. As well as facing the biggest military threat to peace in Europe since the Cold War—and without, it seems, US backing—we are now in the opening stages of a trade war that could cause a global slide into slump. In the face of huge global security threats and geopolitical turmoil, Germany has dramatically changed its fiscal rules and committed to radically higher defence spending, paid for by increased borrowing along with a €500 billion 10-year fund to boost infrastructure investment. EU leaders have recently pledged €800 billion extra to radically increase military spending by allowing member states to take out loans and increase national debt without incurring the usual penalties under the bloc’s strict fiscal rules.

Our UK Government are rightly also increasing defence spending, albeit financed by a humongous cut in overseas aid. But nobody seriously thinks we can leave it at that, nor that we can cut front-line services such as health, education or policing. We must therefore make sure that extra defence spending delivers faster domestic growth too, so that a bigger GDP funds our other pressing priorities.

The financial markets will have to grasp why today’s new security threats warrant increased defence spending financed by extra borrowing, as all our European partners are doing. Our Labour Government’s duty, together with our partners, is to do whatever it takes to make Britain and Europe safe again. If that means modifying our fiscal rules for these exceptional and exceptionally dangerous times, that is what we have to do. If we had not done something like this in the Second World War, Hitler would have won. Britain rearmed in 1938 by raising defence spending to £400 million, of which £272 million was financed from taxation and £128 million by extra borrowing under the Defence Loans Act 1937.

Extra borrowing for defence purposes only could be made possible by issuing special purpose financial vehicles such as defence bonds up to set limits, as some of our European allies already have in mind. The key will be a steady expansion of defence procurement, not a sudden splurge which could benefit US defence contractors but leave British suppliers out in the cold. I very much hope that the Chancellor will break free from Treasury orthodoxy and do this.