Question to the Home Office:
To ask His Majesty's Government what forecast they have made of the expected number of individuals crossing the English Channel by small boat to the UK each month in (1) 2023, and (2) 2024.
The Home Office has modelled various scenarios which inform planning on how to handle small boats and ensure the system is resilient. However, these are planning scenarios, not forecasts or predictions, and there are no plans to publish them. In 2022, over 45,000 people arrived in the UK as a result of these crossings.