Question to the Department for Work and Pensions:
To ask the Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, pursuant to the Answer of 7 March 2019 to Question 229636, what forecast she has made of flows on to universal credit in the next period for which such a calculation has been made.
The Department has forecasted flows onto Universal Credit to 2024.
The below table shows a breakdown of the average monthly volumes per calendar year from 2019 (rounded to the nearest 10,000 where appropriate).
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
Rapid Reclaims | 40,000 | 40,000 | 40,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 | 50,000 |
Pure new awards | 100,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | 90,000 | 90,000 | 90,000 |
Movement due to a change in circumstance | 50,000 | 40,000 | 30,000 | 20,000 | 10,000 | - |
Being moved without a change in circumstance | Less than 500 | Less than 1000 | 10,000 | 40,000 | 90,000 | - |
Total | 190,000 | 180,000 | 190,000 | 200,000 | 230,000 | 140,000 |