Question to the Home Office:

To ask the Secretary of State for the Home Department, what estimate she has made of net migration to the UK from (a) EU member states and (b) the rest of the world in each of the first three years following the introduction of points based system for immigration.

The Home Office does not forecast future levels of net migration due to the considerable uncertainties involved. Quarterly historical net migration figures are published by the Office for National Statistics.

The department has published an Impact Assessment for the Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill which included an assessment of the potential number of skilled workers who may be eligible under the new points-based immigration system. This included illustrative scenarios for inflows of both EU and non-EU nationals over the next three years. Estimates were provided for all skilled workers and not split by new entrant and experienced workers.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/migrationstatisticsquarterlyreport/august2020#development-of-migration-statistics

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/immigration-bill-2020-overarching-documents