Leaving the EU: Economic Impact of Proposed Deal Debate

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Department: HM Treasury

Leaving the EU: Economic Impact of Proposed Deal

Deidre Brock Excerpts
Wednesday 20th February 2019

(5 years, 9 months ago)

Commons Chamber
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Mel Stride Portrait Mel Stride
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The analysis needs to model the future political declaration, upon which the negotiations will rest. Of course, that is a relatively broad document with a number of potential outcomes. The analysis has quite rightly taken a range of possible outcomes to make that assessment and most accurately reflect the range of outcomes of where the deal itself may land.

Deidre Brock Portrait Deidre Brock (Edinburgh North and Leith) (SNP)
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Unlike the EEA or single market model, the PM’s deal assumes that regulatory checks will be essential to the proper functioning of separate EU and UK markets. Does not the Minister agree that we need to understand the impact of such trade barriers now?

Mel Stride Portrait Mel Stride
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That is precisely what the analysis is setting out—a series of potential outcomes and the economic impacts thereof. Some Members are suggesting that we should analyse where we are at the moment, but that would not be appropriate given that we are leaving the European Union. At the same time, it has to be recognised that we have not yet fully concluded the new trading relationship with the European Union—the EU27—and therefore the analysis sets out a range of possible landing points for those negotiations.