Public Finances: Borrowing Costs

Debate between Lord Howell of Guildford and Lord Livermore

Thursday 9th January 2025 Lords Chamber

[Lord Livermore (Lab)]

I absolutely agree with my noble friend. Growth was one of the biggest failures of the previous Government and we are determined to turn that around. The OECD recently upgraded our growth forecast, which means that the UK’s economy is now growing faster than those of Germany, France, Italy and Japan over the next three years. Following the Budget, the OBR increased its forecast for GDP for 2024 and 2025 and, for the first time, it has looked at the growth impact across a decade. It is particularly clear that capital investment, which the party opposite opposes, will lead to a significant increase in growth over the longer term.

[Lord Howell of Guildford (Con)]

My Lords, the Minister will be aware—at least, I hope he is—that global Governments’ debt at present is running at about $95 trillion. That is expected to rise to $130 trillion in three years’ time. He is right that there are some countries where the debt is higher than ours at present, but does he accept that it is about not only the size of the borrowing but the bond markets’ and world opinion about the commitment of a Government to enterprise and growth and to dynamic economic policies, particularly affecting small and medium-sized business, which of course is 99% of all business? Will he therefore have a word with the Chancellor to ensure that she recognises that in her next Budget, as she did not seem to in her last Budget, because it would greatly improve our standing and may save us a few tens of billions in interest on our present enormous debt?

[Lord Livermore (Lab)]

I am happy to say to the noble Lord that the Government are absolutely committed to working in partnership with business to grow the economy and to doing what is required to do so. As he knows, the Government are committed to economic and fiscal stability. We have put in place those robust fiscal rules, and there is a significant fiscal consolidation during the course of this Parliament, taking borrowing as a share of GDP from 4.5% to 2.1%. If achieved, this would be the biggest current budget surplus in over 20 years.

Economic Productivity

Debate between Lord Howell of Guildford and Lord Livermore

Thursday 5th December 2024 Lords Chamber

[Lord Livermore (Lab)]

I completely agree with my noble friend on that point. Measuring public sector productivity is very difficult and contradictory measures are involved. My noble friend is right that, obviously, our priority is improving those public services and we will continue to do so.

[Lord Howell of Guildford (Con)]

My Lords, in the 1970s, we attracted enormous increases in productivity by also attracting vast quantities of Japanese inward investment, which saved our motor industry. Now, unfortunately, our motor industry needs saving again. Could we concentrate on attracting FDI by having the kind of Budget that really makes international investors keen to invest here on a scale much larger than anything that has come before?

[Lord Livermore (Lab)]

The noble Lord is absolutely correct to say that investment is one of the key drivers in raising productivity. Obviously, it was a matter of regret that, under the previous Government, the UK was the only G7 country with levels of private sector investment below 20% of GDP. We are absolutely determined to raise that: the recent international investment summit saw £64 billion of investment come into the UK, creating some 40,000 jobs. We are determined to continue that trend.