Asked by: Lord Horam (Conservative - Life peer)
Question to the Home Office:
To ask Her Majesty's Government what is their central estimate for the total out of country inflows to the UK of (1) EEA long-term workers, (2) EEA dependants, (3) non-EEA workers, and (4) non-EEA dependants, in each of the five years from 2020/21 to 2024/25, arising from the calculations in the Impact Assessment for the Changes in Immigration Rules; and what are the relevant comparator figures for each of the previous five years.
Answered by Baroness Williams of Trafford - Captain of the Honourable Corps of Gentlemen-at-Arms (HM Household) (Chief Whip, House of Lords)
The information below is taken from modelling underpinning Home Office Impact Assessment HO0376 ‘Impact Assessment for changes to the Immigration Rules for Skilled Workers’, with further details on the modelling framework and limitations of analysis also set out in that document and the ‘Technical Annex to accompany the Impact Assessment for changes to the Immigration Rules for Skilled Workers’.
These documents can be found here: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/supporting-documents-for-skilled-worker-immigration-rules
Estimates of outflows of long-term EEA and non-EEA workers and their dependants were used to inform the overall estimates of volumes and costs, but not presented separately in the documents above. These estimates are set out in the table below. All figures, including for the period 2016/2017 to 2019/20 are estimates based on modelling.
Year | Estimated Long-Term EEA Worker - Outflow | Estimated Dependants of Long-Term EEA Worker - Outflow | Estimated Long-Term Non-EEA Worker - Outflow | Estimated Dependants of Long-Term Non-EEA Worker - Outflow |
2016/17 | ~50k | ~10k | ~10k | ~5k |
2017/18 | ~70k | ~10k | ~10k | ~5k |
2018/19 | ~55k | ~10k | ~10k | ~5k |
2019/20 | ~75k | ~10k | ~10k | ~10k |
2020/21 | ~70k | ~10k | ~15k | ~10k |
2021/22 | ~65k | ~10k | ~15k | ~10k |
2022/23 | ~50k | ~10k | ~20k | ~15k |
2023/24 | ~40k | ~5k | ~20k | ~15k |
2024/25 | ~35k | ~5k | ~25k | ~20k |
Data is rounded to nearest 5,000, and all data are estimates and subject to uncertainty. Dependants refer to dependants associated to main applicants and may not necessarily be of the same nationality as the main applicant. For further information on the modelling process and limitations in analysis please refer to Home Office Impact Assessment HO0376 ‘Impact Assessment for changes to the Immigration Rules for Skilled Workers’, and ‘Technical Annex to accompany the Impact Assessment for changes to the Immigration Rules for Skilled Workers’.
Asked by: Lord Horam (Conservative - Life peer)
Question to the Home Office:
To ask Her Majesty's Government, further to the introduction of the points-based immigration system, what they estimate net migration levels in the UK will be in (1) 2021, (2) 2022, (3) 2023, (4) 2024, and (5) 2025.
Answered by Baroness Williams of Trafford - Captain of the Honourable Corps of Gentlemen-at-Arms (HM Household) (Chief Whip, House of Lords)
The Home Office does not forecast future levels of net migration due to the considerable uncertainties involved, including movements by those such as British Citizens returning or migrating from the UK, which are not affected by UK immigration controls.
The estimated impact on migration volumes of the recent changes to the immigration rules for students and skilled workers can be found in the associated published impact assessments, accessed through:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/supporting-documents-for-skilled-worker-immigration-rules
Asked by: Lord Horam (Conservative - Life peer)
Question to the Home Office:
To ask Her Majesty's Government how many visas have been granted in 2020; and of those, how many were visas for (1) work, (2) family, and (3) study.
Answered by Baroness Williams of Trafford - Captain of the Honourable Corps of Gentlemen-at-Arms (HM Household) (Chief Whip, House of Lords)
The Home Office publishes data on visas in the‘Immigration Statistics Quarterly Release’.https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/immigration-statistics-quarterly-release
Data on grants of visas, by category, are published in table Vis_D02 of the entry clearance detailed datasets. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/managed-migration-datasets#entry-clearance-visas-granted-outside-the-uk These data show that 512,749 visas have been issued in quarters 1 and 2 (January to June) 2020. Of these, 49,679 were for Work, 46,258 were for Study, and 15,426 were for Family reasons.
Information on how to use the dataset can be found in the ‘Notes’ page of the workbook. The latest data relates to year ending June 2020. Data relating to the third quarter of 2020 (July to September) are due for future publication, on 26 November 2020.
Additionally, the Home Office publishes a high-level overview of the data in the entry clearance summary tables. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/immigration-statistics-year-ending-june-2020/list-of-tables#entry-clearance-visasThe ‘contents’ sheet contains an overview of all available data on entry clearance visas.
Information on future Home Office statistical release dates can be found in the ‘Research and statistics calendar’. https://www.gov.uk/search/research-and-statistics?keywords=immigration&content_store_document_type=upcoming_statistics&organisations%5B%5D=home-office&order=relevance