National Insurance Contributions (Secondary Class 1 Contributions) Bill

Lord Altrincham Excerpts

Report stage
Tuesday 25th February 2025 Lords Chamber

[Baroness Noakes (Con)]

My Lords, we come to an exciting part of this Report stage, having had several debates on this Bill.

The Bill will have significant impacts on: some types of employers; some business sectors and sizes of business; some types of employees; and some types of the provision of public services by bodies which are not themselves in the public sector. More broadly, we have heard that businesses will face the double whammy of the minimum wage increases and the national insurance increases together in just a few weeks’ time, and they are likely to respond by taking actions to reduce their workforce and the hours that their workforce can work and reduce wages where they are not constrained by the national minimum wage. Prices are likely to go up, and profits are likely to go down. All this will have negative impacts on the economy. It is difficult to avoid opening a newspaper nowadays without seeing one or more campaign groups, industry representatives and charity representatives making their case for the harmful impacts of this Bill, but to date the Government have been completely deaf to all these entreaties. All this is bearing down on the economy, which is already flatlining.

I can understand why the Government do not want to make any changes to a centrepiece of their growth-destroying Budget last October. We know there is almost no room left in their fiscal rules for any changes. There are lots of downside risks to the economy, and there are precious few upsides. These are all the results of choices that the Government have made in the last seven months, so I understand why the Minister’s response to every issue presented to him in Committee, and indeed again today, was that the Government reject the cases being made.

My Amendment 39 provides for a very simple power for the Treasury to issue regulations that exempt categories of employer from the national insurance changes that this Bill introduces. There is not even a parliamentary process attached to the regulations. My amendment would therefore allow the Treasury to act quickly, once it faces up to the fact that it really has created some problems. There are no downsides to the Government accepting this amendment, as they need never use it, but it would be a useful backstop if things turn out as badly as many of us believe they will.

It is not often that the Opposition Benches offer an unrestricted power to a Government to do things, but I and others are so alarmed by the potential impacts of this Bill that I think it is the right thing for the Government to take this kind of power in the interests of the country.

We have passed some amendments today that have taken some of the roughest edges off this Bill, and I hope they will survive their passage through the Commons, but this has not made the Bill completely harm free. My sincere hope is that the Government will support this amendment, if not in its current form then in a reworded form to their own taste at Third Reading. I beg to move.

[Lord Altrincham (Con)]

My Lords, I support Amendment 39 in the name of my noble friend Lady Noakes. I thank all noble Lords for their courage and grace in staying all the way through to group 7.

Amendment 39 would give the Treasury the power to exempt sectors that would suffer significantly under the Government’s national insurance rise. The amendment introduces a degree of flexibility that Ministers can use to protect the most vulnerable of British businesses; by allowing the Treasury to introducing specific exemptions when required, we can exempt them from the additional financial burden of the national insurance increase.

I am grateful to my noble friend for bringing forward Amendment 39. It is clear that we share many of the same concerns. The amendment in her name is closely aligned with those in the name of my noble friend Lady Neville-Rolfe that seek to exempt specific sectors, such as the social care or charity sectors. So many sectors need exemption from this policy, and we hope the Government will give the arguments thoughtful consideration.

[Lord Livermore (Lab)]

My Lords, Amendment 39, tabled by the noble Baroness, Lady Noakes, seeks to include powers as part of this Bill to exempt certain groups in future. As I have already set out, the revenues raised from the measures in this Bill play a critical role in repairing the public finances and rebuilding our public services. Clearly, any future changes that exempt certain groups from paying national insurance would have cost implications, necessitating either higher borrowing, lower spending or alternative revenue-raising measures. I would therefore respectfully ask the noble Baroness to withdraw her amendment.

--- Later in debate ---

My amendment is classified as a probing amendment, but it is no less serious for it. Labour has, quite simply, lost control of the handfuls of money that councils rely on to deliver their services, and this national insurance rise will push them to the edge. Labour cannot blame the Tories. This is a crisis devised in Downing Street, delivered by Marsham Street, but felt in every high street. I beg to move.

[Lord Altrincham (Con)]

My Lords, I support my noble friend and thank him for his brief-ish words on local taxpayers and his update on the Great Reform Bill as well. I thank him for his amendment to ensure that the Government initiate a review into the impact of this tax on local authority finances.

As countless noble Lords have remarked, both in Committee and during this debate, local authorities already find themselves in a perilous financial position. As my noble friend Lord Jamieson said in Grand Committee, local government currently spends more than 70% of its funding on adult and children’s social care. The Local Government Association has estimated that this measure will cost local authorities a total of £1.7 billion. Some £1.2 billion of that is indirect costs. While the Government may have offset the direct costs of local authorities, they have not done so for the indirect costs they will face. They will have either to cut public services or to put up council tax.

Given this, a review of the impact on local authorities is surely the minimum we can expect from the Government. I urge the Minister to accept this amendment.

[Lord Livermore (Lab)]

My Lords, I will speak briefly to Amendment 43 tabled by the noble Lord, Lord Fuller, which would require the Government to publish an impact assessment of the Bill on local authorities within six months of its introduction. The noble Lord set out eloquently the damage the previous Government did over 14 years to public services and to the funding available to local government. He asked me the same questions as he did in Committee, and I give him the same answer as I did then: it is not for me to comment on the calculations made by other organisations.

On impact, as I have set out previously this evening and extensively in Committee, the Government have already published an assessment of this policy and a tax information and impact note. The OBR’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook also sets out the expected macroeconomic impact of the changes to employer national insurance contributions on employment, growth and inflation. The Government and the OBR have therefore already set out the impacts of this policy change. The information provided is in line with other tax changes, and the Government do not intend to publish further assessments.

The Government will of course continue to monitor the impact of these policies in the usual way. I therefore respectfully ask the noble Lord to withdraw his amendment.