Middle East: Economic Response
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(1 week, 3 days ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
Just to be clear, I said that oil and gas production in the North Sea is an important and valuable resource, and I support its continued use. I did not comment on Jackdaw and Rosebank specifically because I am not able to do so at this point, but the noble Lord will know that we are harnessing our domestic supply by managing existing fields for their entire lifetime, including by allowing tiebacks for those fields to ensure that they remain viable. I believe that when the Chancellor set out those measures in advance of legislation, we published further details on tiebacks, which external analysis has predicted could result in tens of millions more barrels of oil being available for UK supply. The announcement that we made gives industry greater clarity to support investment in these projects and maximise supply from our own existing sites in order to support our energy security, and the Government will legislate in due course to introduce these changes.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, attractions such as zoos and galleries have been campaigning for a long time for a cut in VAT. They argue that such a cut would result in equally high spending, because once people got over the threshold they would spend more in shops and restaurants, and that the Government would get their money. If this is proved to be successful, will the Minister accept that VAT cuts are not just for August?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
The noble Baroness knows that we have introduced a temporary cut in the rate of VAT on summer attractions, from 20% to 5%. Over the summer holidays, from 25 June to 1 September, all children’s menu meals served in a restaurant, and children and family tickets for cinemas, theatres, exhibitions, concerts and shows, will be subject to a reduced 5% rate of VAT. Entrance to attractions such as amusement parks, fairs, museums, wildlife parks and adventure parks will be subject to the reduced rate of VAT for both children’s and adults’ tickets. As I say, those measures apply from 25 June to 1 September, which I suppose will give us a real-world opportunity to examine the points that the noble Baroness makes. Obviously, any extension of that would be a matter for the next spending review.
Higher Earners: Emigration
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(3 weeks ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
We must ensure that the wealthiest pay their fair share of tax towards the public finances. Equally, successful businesses and entrepreneurs who create jobs and wealth are the engine of economic growth in this country and we must do all that we can to support them.
Captain of the Honourable Corps of Gentlemen-at-Arms and Chief Whip (Lord Kennedy of Southwark) (Lab Co-op)
My Lords, it is the turn of the Cross Benches.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, does the Minister agree that the tax avoidance industry in this country appears to continue to thrive? If so, how does he explain that?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
This Government have been very clear that we will close down any tax loopholes that we can while ensuring that the tax regime remains highly competitive. That is exactly what we are doing.
Business Rates: Retail, Hospitality and Leisure
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(4 months, 3 weeks ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
I understand and agree with a lot of what the noble Baroness says. It is important that we are able to create certainty for those businesses, but we did spend £4.3 billion at the time of the Budget in support of exactly the businesses she described. We are implementing transitional relief to cap the amount that bills increase for businesses that would otherwise have seen big increases. For any business whose values increase so that they are no longer eligible for small business rates relief, we are capping that increase, and we have expanded the supporting small businesses scheme. As I say, that is at a total cost of £4.3 billion, so we absolutely recognise the issues facing those businesses. The revaluation means that pubs and others will struggle in relation to the business rates applicable to them, which is exactly why we are working with the sector to ensure that it gets the support it needs.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, the retail and hospitality industries are often where youngsters who find it difficult to get into the workplace get their first foothold. Understandably, there have to be increases in the overheads that these organisations are paying, but can the Minister look at ways in which these organisations might be helped to bring some of those people who really need their first job into the employment market?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
The noble Baroness is absolutely right about the important role that those businesses play in giving young people their first jobs, and I agree with her. We are taking significant measures to help the UK hospitality sector, which employs more than 2 million people and is vital to high streets across the UK. Based on recommendations from the licensing taskforce, we published a new National Licensing Policy Framework for the hospitality sector at the time of the Budget. We are exploring planning reforms to help pubs and hospitality to expand, and the hospitality support fund has helped pubs in rural areas to diversify, ensuring that they can continue in their role as vital community hubs.
OBR: Resignation of Chair
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(6 months ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
As I have said before, we take the Budget process very seriously and we put the utmost weight on Budget secrecy.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
How much stress does the Minister think should be put anyhow on forecasts of relatively small numbers that can turn out to be extremely wrong?
OBR Forecasts
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(6 months, 1 week ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
I am grateful to my noble friend for what he said. Obviously, I cannot comment on any specific market movements or lack thereof, but he is absolutely correct that no one at any point was misled. The Chancellor was honest and consistent with the public in everything that she said. My noble friend is absolutely right about the positive market reception to this Budget because we have put fiscal responsibility at the heart of it. We have reduced borrowing every single year of the forecast. We are reducing borrowing further than any other G7 country and net financial liabilities are lower at the end of this forecast period than the beginning. As I said, this is completely consistent with what the Chancellor set out at the start of this process—that she wanted to see debt and borrowing fall as a result of the Budget.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, would the Minister agree that the real flaw in all this debate is putting such importance on such tiny movements in forecasts? The OBR itself admits that its forecasts tend to overestimate GDP growth and productivity. The reliance on these figures on such short-term movements is utterly crazy when something such as the student loan book stands at nearly £300 billion. Could the Minister tell us what sort of a shortfall he expects to come out of that in the end?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
I have some sympathy for the premise behind the noble Baroness’s question. That is why it is important that in this Budget we rebuilt headroom. The Chancellor said at the start of this process, in her speech on 4 November, that she wanted to build greater resilience against global shocks and the kinds of events we are seeing around the world. That is why she built more headroom in the Budget, to £21.7 billion. That provides a greater cushion, for the exact reasons the noble Baroness is saying. The noble Baroness said that the OBR tends to overestimate GDP growth. Obviously, this year it underestimated it, because we beat the forecast for this year. It estimated that growth would be 1% but it turned out to be 1.5%. We were the fastest growing economy in the G7 for the first half of this year and we are on course to be the second fastest for the year as a whole. That is an achievement. She spoke about overestimating productivity, and she is absolutely correct on that. Productivity was downgraded because of the abysmal record of the party opposite over 14 years.
National Insurance: Partnerships
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(7 months ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
Again, I think that that may be inviting me to speculate on the next Budget. I am not going to give a running commentary on the speculation there has been so far. The Chancellor will set out the Government’s tax policy at the forthcoming Budget.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, will the Minister accept that although he continues to tell us that he is conducting his responses in the normal way ahead of a Budget, it is not the normal way, ahead of a Budget, for the Chancellor to give a speech to a press conference which is simply about the Budget?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
The Chancellor is entirely at liberty to set out what she wants to set out at any given point. As I said, there has much speculation ahead of the Budget. I am not going to comment on the Budget. We will do things in the usual way. She has asked the OBR to produce a new forecast for the Budget. She will take decisions based on that forecast and set them out at the forthcoming Budget.
Spending Review 2025
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(11 months, 4 weeks ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
Yes. The noble Baroness says that we are not spending enough on the health service. Over the next five years, £30 billion will be invested in day-to-day spending, with over £5 billion specifically allocated to address the most critical issues. The noble Baroness likes to tell us how she does not believe in economic growth. If we do not have economic growth, how will we find the money to fund our public services? I sat through the national insurance Bill. The noble Baroness opposed it and the additional money that it brought into our National Health Service. She says that this is not enough money. How exactly is she going to find the money? She is mouthing “wealth taxes”. If she thinks a wealth tax is going to raise that many billion pounds, I would love to see her proposals.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, the capital investment contained in the spending review will be very welcome in many parts of the country. The problem will be making sure that it is money well spent. As those of us who were here in the morning heard, public bodies often are not the greatest at making sure they can build a door, let alone a motorway. How will the Government ensure that we get value for money on our projects? Just having an office called the “office for value for money” might not be enough. I was cheered that the Chancellor said the amount of money being spent on consultants had come down. Can the Minister put a figure on that and tell us what the budget for consultants over the next few years will be?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
I do not have the specific budget for consultants over the next few years to hand. I am more than happy to write to her with that figure if it is available. She is right that we have reduced the number of consultants. It ballooned under the previous Government, who like to talk about saving money but did not always walk the walk.
We are investing an additional £113 billion in capital spending, which is enabling so many of the projects that we are discussing today. It would not be possible if we had not rewritten the fiscal rules that we inherited from the previous Government, which guaranteed neither stability nor investment. We inherited such a poor public infrastructure situation from them as they repeatedly cut investment spending to patch up the holes in their day-to-day spending. The noble Baroness mentioned the change to the fiscal rules. Alongside the fiscal rules, we have set out very clear guard-rails to ensure that that money is spent wisely and carefully through public finance institutions. I am very confident that we have set out those guard-rails and will ensure that we get the value for money that she is describing.
Basel 3.1
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(1 year, 2 months ago)
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Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
Could the Minister reassure the House that simply not wanting to pay any more tax would not be a reason for renegotiating?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
I am happy to give the House that assurance.
Closed-Ended Investment Companies: Cost Disclosure
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(1 year, 2 months ago)
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Baroness Altmann
To ask His Majesty’s Government what steps they are considering to ensure that investors in UK-listed closed-ended investment companies are not disadvantaged relative to investors in open-ended funds as a result of cost disclosure requirements and investment platforms refusing to allow transactions related to them.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, on behalf of the noble Baroness, Lady Altmann, I beg leave to ask the Question standing in her name on the Order Paper.
The Financial Secretary to the Treasury (Lord Livermore) (Lab)
My Lords, last year, the Government legislated to reform retail disclosure so that it is fairer and more proportionate. Recognising the concerns mentioned in the Question, the Government also took exceptional action to exempt investment companies from cost disclosure requirements to provide interim relief while the replacement regime is finalised. Operationalising this legislation is now a matter for industry and the regulator.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, I thank the Minister for that response, but despite the Government’s welcome SI, and FCA emergency guidance last November, some retail platforms continue to ban customers from investing in UK investment trusts that do not disclose their ongoing charging figures, even though those figures are misleading, as the Government accept. Will the Minister hold urgent talks with the FCA to insist that this barrier to investment be removed immediately?
Lord Livermore (Lab)
I am very grateful to the noble Baroness for the question. I also pay tribute to other noble Lords, including the noble Baronesses, Lady Altmann and Lady Bowles, for their continued championing of the investment trust sector and for bringing their concerns to the Government’s attention in their Private Members’ Bills in this Parliament and the previous one. As a result of their campaigning, the Government have now legislated to provide the Financial Conduct Authority with tailored powers to deliver a new disclosure regime. The Government have also temporarily exempted investment companies from cost disclosure legislation.
On the specific matter raised by the Question, of requirements by investment platforms for the investments they offer, that is now a matter for the industry and the regulator. While I recognise that the Government may not have gone as far as the noble Baroness would like, we have a shared objective of ensuring that that this reform achieves the right outcomes for investment companies and for the sector as a whole.
Growing the UK Economy
Baroness Wheatcroft Excerpts(1 year, 4 months ago)
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Lord Livermore (Lab)
I am grateful to the noble Baroness for her question. I know that this is an area in which she is particularly expert—far more expert, I am sure, than I am. I will say a couple of things. First, I completely agree: it is often said to me that the UK is a very good place to start a business and a less good place to scale up a business. I think that has to be central to our thinking when it comes to economic growth and growing those small businesses. When it comes to entrepreneurs and those who we want to take greater risks in our economy, one of the most important things we can do is ensure economic stability, because the more stable the economy is, the more willing people are to take the risks that we want them to take. She asks about employment rights. All the evidence now suggests that, the more secure a workforce is, the more productive it is. We were talking about productivity before and, on secure rights for workers, workers who are more economically secure are going to be more productive workers in the economy.
Baroness Wheatcroft (CB)
My Lords, the Minister acknowledged the importance of resetting relations with the EU. I understand the importance of sticking to the golden rules his party has laid down about not rejoining the single market or the EU customs union, but does he acknowledge that it is really important to improve those trading relations as quickly as possible? Therefore, will the Government not just discuss but pursue wholeheartedly joining the pan-Euro-Mediterranean convention?