Disclaimer: The data on this page is for information purposes only. This information was produced without the involvement or agreement of any gaming provider, and uses publicly advertised betting odds to calculate and track individual constituency expectations for the 2024 General Election.
There are no Sinn Féin new wins forecasted in the 2024 General Election
There are no Sinn Féin marginally ahead forecasted in the 2024 General Election
There are no Sinn Féin marginally behind forecasted in the 2024 General Election
There are no Sinn Féin losing seats forecasted in the 2024 General Election
| Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% Sinn Féin retain vs. 38.1% Ulster Unionist Party win | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | 1,098 |
| 87.5% Sinn Féin retain vs. 16.7% Social Democratic & Labour Party win | South Down | 1,926 |
| 83.3% Sinn Féin retain vs. 22.2% Democratic Unionist Party win | Belfast North | 1,979 |
| 90.0% Sinn Féin retain vs. 12.5% Democratic Unionist Party win | West Tyrone | 7,519 |
| 94.1% Sinn Féin retain vs. 9.1% Social Democratic & Labour Party win | Newry and Armagh | 9,271 |
| 93.3% Sinn Féin retain vs. 11.1% Democratic Unionist Party win | Mid Ulster | 10,093 |
| 98.5% Sinn Féin retain vs. 3.9% Democratic Unionist Party win | Belfast West | 12,831 |