Disclaimer: The data on this page is for information purposes only. This information was produced without the involvement or agreement of any gaming provider, and uses publicly advertised betting odds to calculate and track individual constituency expectations for the 2024 General Election.
| Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
|---|---|---|
| 60.0% Alliance win vs. 36.4% Democratic Unionist Party retain | Belfast East | 2,138 |
| Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% Alliance retain vs. 47.6% Independent win | North Down | 2,736 |
| Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% Democratic Unionist Party retain vs. 44.4% Alliance win | Lagan Valley | 7,262 |
There are no Alliance losing seats forecasted in the 2024 General Election
| Probability | Constituency | Current Majority |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% Alliance retain vs. 47.6% Independent win | North Down | 2,736 |