Q 20 How can the fund cope if there is an unforeseen crisis?
Mr Gauke: First, as Mr Whiting pointed out, the fund is unlikely to face an unforeseen crisis due to expenditure. There is flexibility within the regime for top-ups from the Consolidated Fund from the Treasury to ensure that the national insurance fund can fulfil its obligations. In terms of our commitments, this requires us to have a strong economy and sound public finances and to control public spending in other areas, so that we are in a position to see the increase in departmental spending in the NHS that I am sure we would all like.
Q 21 In terms of the national insurance fund, the trend is not looking good. In 2008-09, the fund was sufficient to cover 71% of its liabilities. By last year, that had dropped to 25%. Some commentators are suggesting that this year it will fall below the Government Actuary’s recommended one sixth, which is 16.7%. I understand that the Government Actuary has indicated that a top-up will be required this year from the Consolidated Fund, I imagine as you just indicated. I understand what you said about flexibility. Can you give an indication of how big that top-up from the Consolidated Fund for the national insurance fund is likely to be for this financial year and for the remaining years of this Parliament?
Mr Gauke: I can say that, for the 2015-16 tax year, a top-up of £9.6 billion has been provided for in legislation. That is the potential number; it is not to say that that will be necessary. I am not sure that I can give a number for future years as such. It will depend upon various factors, but there is provision for top-up from the Consolidated Fund if necessary.