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Division Vote (Lords)
5 Nov 2025 - Border Security, Asylum and Immigration Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted No - in line with the party majority and in line with the House
One of 47 Conservative No votes vs 3 Conservative Aye votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 47 Noes - 136
Division Vote (Lords)
3 Nov 2025 - Planning and Infrastructure Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and against the House
One of 144 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 162 Noes - 178
Division Vote (Lords)
3 Nov 2025 - Border Security, Asylum and Immigration Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and against the House
One of 164 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 182 Noes - 227
Division Vote (Lords)
28 Oct 2025 - Employment Rights Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and in line with the House
One of 189 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 301 Noes - 153
Division Vote (Lords)
28 Oct 2025 - Employment Rights Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and in line with the House
One of 190 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 302 Noes - 159
Division Vote (Lords)
22 Oct 2025 - Planning and Infrastructure Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and in line with the House
One of 144 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 228 Noes - 113
Written Question
National Income
Wednesday 22nd October 2025

Asked by: Lord Frost (Non-affiliated - Life peer)

Question to the HM Treasury:

To ask His Majesty's Government, further to the reply by Lord Livermore on 13 October (HL Deb col 9), on what basis and calculations it was claimed that "without Brexit, GDP would be 4% higher".

Answered by Lord Livermore - Financial Secretary (HM Treasury)

The statement was based on independent analysis by the Office for Budget Responsibility. In 2020 the OBR forecast that GDP will be 4 per cent lower than it would have been had the UK not withdrawn from the EU. The OBR estimated that around two-fifths of the 4 per cent impact had already occurred by the time the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement came into force, that GDP would be 2.7 per cent lower by 2025, with the remaining reduction occurring by 2031.

In the OBR’s March 2024 Economic and Fiscal Outlook, they reaffirmed these assumptions were on track, and as of Spring 2025 these forecasts were unchanged.

Other independent studies are also consistent with this analysis, for example the National Institute of Economic and Social Research estimates that GDP will be 5 to 6 per cent lower as a result of Brexit.


Division Vote (Lords)
21 Oct 2025 - Public Authorities (Fraud, Error and Recovery) Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and in line with the House
One of 162 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 262 Noes - 157
Division Vote (Lords)
21 Oct 2025 - Public Authorities (Fraud, Error and Recovery) Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and in line with the House
One of 136 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 212 Noes - 144
Division Vote (Lords)
21 Oct 2025 - Public Authorities (Fraud, Error and Recovery) Bill - View Vote Context
Lord Frost (None) voted Aye - in line with the party majority and in line with the House
One of 158 Conservative Aye votes vs 0 Conservative No votes
Vote Tally: Ayes - 253 Noes - 153