(2 days, 22 hours ago)
Lords ChamberMy Lords, my focus here will be on climate change and, in particular, whether the climate risk to the financial system is adequately addressed—or addressed at all—in the new arrangements the Government are putting forward in the Bill. With the potential consequences of that, it is worth standing back on this.
We all know that, at the least, the complacency about the subprime market in the US resulted in the 2007-08 financial crash—something few were paying attention to. That crash had global effects. The City of London, and therefore the UK economy, were particularly badly affected. I recall the panic of ordinary people who feared their savings would be lost and queued to draw them out, with widespread retail bank failures on the cards. Strenuous and expensive efforts were made to prop up the banks to protect customers. The UK Treasury injected almost £140 billion into failing banks at the peak of the 2008 financial crisis. The Government provided a further £1 trillion in financial guarantees and liquidity backstops to stabilise the financial system. We need to remember that, and we especially need to remember the consequences: austerity for years, living standards frozen and people feeling left behind.
Many have argued that this contributed to Brexit as people thought that coming out of the EU would improve their financial position. As was predicted at the time, and has now been borne out, far from improving things, this actually led to major damage in the UK economy. Then came the expenditure on the pandemic, and the cost to the UK economy grew. People’s living standards have not improved for two decades. It is therefore not surprising that we now see moves to the populist right and left for simple and immediate answers. Economic challenges have their social and political effects, as we have seen before. Therefore, this Bill matters.
The Government are right to seek growth in the economy, and the financial sector is rightly identified as a potential source of growth. Clearly, where regulation is serving no purpose and is obstructing that growth or is out of date, it makes sense to reform it. However, we need to be acutely aware of the huge economic, political and social costs that have resulted from lax regulation and regulators not properly focused on real threats. That is what we need to guard against, and the noble Baroness, Lady Noakes, has decimated the proposals to reduce parliamentary engagement and the removal of regulations into various strategies.
Let me come to my focus here. Just as we have a new landscape in crypto, for example, we need to be aware of climate change as a current and future risk to the financial sector, over both the short and the long term. Clause 17 removes whole swathes of protection, to be replaced by as yet undefined strategies. The FCA has been given huge new responsibilities when we know that regulators have a poor track record in monitoring areas already under their responsibility, let alone horizon-scanning for new risks.
The deletions in the Bill take out regard for climate change, the need to focus on sustainable growth and the need to be compliant with the Climate Change Act, as the noble Baroness, Lady Hayman, mentioned. Yet, as the noble Baroness, Lady Young, said, the UK remains well positioned to capitalise on its reputation as a hub for sustainable finance. I would go further, however: we need now to be acutely aware of climate risk; therefore, we should be strengthening, not weakening, the rules here.
I hope that everyone has read, at the very least, the summary of the recent report produced by the Adaptation Committee of the Climate Change Committee, chaired by our colleague, the noble Baroness, Lady Brown of Cambridge. The world is currently on a path to be around 2 degrees above pre-industrial levels by 2050. We will not return to pre-industrial levels. Our aim has to be to stop further escalation in global heating, but also to seek to adapt to what is already our new climate. There will be parts of the world where this is far more acute than in the UK, but the financial sector is global, with implications going back to our own economy, society and politics. It is a global threat even beyond subprime markets.
The priority risks in the UK alone are intensifying heat, a growing flood risk, rising droughts and wildfire risk. The risk to the insurance industry is obvious. The Adaptation Committee report points out that flood-related insurance claims are rising; home insurers have paid out more in claims than they received in premiums for the five years to 2024. They conclude that by 2050, under 2 degrees centigrade of global warming, many homes and businesses may not be able to access insurance at all. This threatens the viability of the property market, the economy and the sustainability of communities. As the report states:
“A large insurance protection gap means many homes and businesses cannot access insurance due to lack of coverage or high premiums. It also puts stress on the financial sector, as banks face higher default rates on mortgages and business loans, and on public finances through disaster support needs”.
The 2039 end date for the Flood Re reinsurance scheme is also creating uncertainty in the property insurance market, which is having an effect on the housing market—as happened with subprime mortgages. As the report states, actions by financial institutions
“are needed to ensure that physical climate risks don’t disrupt the financial system. The actions will support the maintenance of essential financial services across the economy”.
The UK is home to the biggest share of international bank lending and borrowing. It is the largest market for international debt issuance and the world’s largest specialty insurance market, as well as the fourth-largest insurance market overall. One can see parallels with what happened leading up to the 2008 financial crash. The current risk to the housing market and to the insurance industry is clear. Therefore, it is vital that climate risk is included in the Bill, rather than excluded even from regulation. This is one challenge which, unfortunately, we can be absolutely sure will persist for many years to come—way beyond the life of this legislation—and therefore must be enshrined within this Bill.
(1 month, 4 weeks ago)
Lords ChamberTo ask His Majesty’s Government what plans they have to implement the recommendations in the UK Gigafactory Commission report Britain’s Battery Future, published on 21 January.
The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State, Department for Business and Trade and Department for Science, Innovation and Technology (Baroness Lloyd of Effra) (Lab)
I thank the noble Baroness for her contribution to the commission and its report. A resilient domestic battery sector is essential to the future of our automotive industry, our energy security and our transition to net zero. The Government have demonstrated our commitment to support the UK’s battery and electric vehicle sectors in the modern industrial strategy, including the UK’s record commitment to battery research and development through the battery innovation programme.
Our major market is the EU, where shortly we must show that significant value in manufactured goods must originate here or in the EU. In the case of EVs, as the Minister will know, that is the battery. Does she agree, even having said what she has said, that we do not yet have the EV battery gigafactories on the scale we need? The commission on which I served made 10 recommendations. What is the Government’s response, in particular, to the urgent need to attract a major manufacturer to drive the economic incentives to put battery gigafactories in place before we are too late?
Baroness Lloyd of Effra (Lab)
As the noble Baroness highlights, the UK understands the need for gigafactories. We have two gigafactories committed to delivering a combined 55 gigawatts of capacity by 2030. We largely agree with the thrust of the recommendations in the report. On the specific question of attracting another major OEM, led by my noble friend Lord Stockwood, the Minister for Investment, the Office for Investment and the department are engaging global EV manufacturers to invest further in the UK, and we are utilising our comprehensive support offer, including DRIVE35 and the battery innovation programme grants, as well as potential national wealth fund support, to proactively engage potential OEM investors.